Draft Replay all picks in order, color-coded vs projection
Top Actual Scorers
💎 Top Steals actual >> projection (excludes injuries)
🪦 Top Busts actual << projection (excludes injuries)
📊 Draft vs Reality how many slots a pick rose or fell from its draft position to its actual finish rank — model-independent
+ slots = drafted later than they finished (a steal). − slots = drafted earlier than they finished (a bust). In-tournament injuries are excluded from the ranking entirely so they don't pollute the lists.
📈 Best Value
📉 Worst Value
Bracket — Actual Results
🏅 Per-Entry Awards based on draft residuals (actual − projected). In-tournament injuries excluded.
Calibration top-N projected vs actual (closer to 0% = better)
Bias by Seed avg residual per seed line (n=4 each — small sample)
Draft Efficiency did entries that followed the algorithm do better?
algo = simulated score if entry took top-projected at each pick.
vs algo > 0 means the entry beat the algorithm.
Entry Post-Mortem per-pick MAE and hit rate vs projection